Getting the 10-Year Yield Right

The U.S. 10-year yield today dipped below 1.8% again, a one year low. Starting with the taper tantrum in 2013, we should have been well on our way to sustainably higher yields and yet we are probing the lows again.

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In the process, every forecaster has been shown to be wrong, year after year…

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From John Cochrane’s excellent blog.

(John Cochrane’s post on the subject).

At the same time, Japan’s (*cough* rigged) 10-year yield dipped below 0.05% today. Just when you thought yields couldn’t go any lower – they do.

Something for interested economists to chew on.

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