Getting the 10-Year Yield Right

The U.S. 10-year yield today dipped below 1.8% again, a one year low. Starting with the taper tantrum in 2013, we should have been well on our way to sustainably higher yields and yet we are probing the lows again.


In the process, every forecaster has been shown to be wrong, year after year…

From John Cochrane’s excellent blog.

(John Cochrane’s post on the subject).

At the same time, Japan’s (*cough* rigged) 10-year yield dipped below 0.05% today. Just when you thought yields couldn’t go any lower – they do.

Something for interested economists to chew on.


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